Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 8.656665 10.048584 11.544562 13.266344 15.187514 17.259442 19.657001
2025-05-18 6.757802 8.534984 10.570252 13.054511 15.984921 19.311301 23.351226
2025-05-25 5.418009 7.367408 9.725374 12.748718 16.480467 20.892682 26.457096
2025-06-01 4.493832 6.532406 9.121224 12.585624 17.029817 22.465902 29.536305
2025-06-08 3.718616 5.761651 8.477974 12.259339 17.282307 23.614735 32.076555
2025-06-15 3.245280 5.323824 8.201726 12.347413 18.020347 25.355702 35.379533
2025-06-22 2.804821 4.867929 7.839578 12.262739 18.487141 26.727403 38.221862
2025-06-29 2.502588 4.574196 7.667104 12.407335 19.244335 28.482979 41.600465
2025-07-06 2.247798 4.318791 7.518389 12.558601 19.996188 30.236972 45.013322
2025-07-13 2.081865 4.184517 7.533918 12.939342 21.076139 32.462746 49.120391
2025-07-20 1.908006 4.013767 7.472265 13.188614 21.962156 34.433852 52.921987
2025-07-27 1.703964 3.763471 7.257249 13.177687 22.448537 35.840421 55.961554
2025-08-03 1.421234 3.333979 6.709650 12.604184 22.057178 35.972673 57.211719
2025-08-10 1.238083 3.066770 6.409880 12.403331 22.215648 36.896291 59.605087
2025-08-17 1.065368 2.794299 6.072805 12.110850 22.204799 37.554101 61.615285
2025-08-24 0.933150 2.585467 5.829063 11.954753 22.394354 38.506737 64.071108
2025-08-31 0.798779 2.349914 5.510783 11.641823 22.304311 39.017412 65.868776
2025-09-07 0.724629 2.239438 5.421289 11.726412 22.869014 40.548505 69.231535
2025-09-14 0.641769 2.094496 5.248766 11.645194 23.144794 41.627982 71.926106
2025-09-21 0.588292 2.013577 5.198022 11.783960 23.797123 43.316181 75.589225
2025-09-28 0.540423 1.939221 5.153437 11.929132 24.462104 45.038075 79.339030
2025-10-05 0.514264 1.919073 5.222310 12.294588 25.524250 47.425542 84.176157
2025-10-12 0.480371 1.871919 5.227525 12.533901 26.368250 49.475849 88.523287